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The Case of the Disappearing Black Voter

Discussion in 'BBS Hangout: Debate & Discussion' started by basso, Aug 31, 2012.

  1. basso

    basso Contributing Member
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    Disappeared, or were never there?

    --
    Sixty percent of Milwaukee’s black voters have disappeared.

    Democrats have feared for years that one of the particular challenges of running campaigns in 2012 would be simply locating their voters. The party’s constituencies (young people, immigrants, minorities) tend to be among the most mobile demographic groups. And as NPR speculated this week in an analysis of battleground-state foreclosure figures, the housing crisis will likely only have made things more difficult for Democrats looking for their supporters.

    New data from Milwaukee give an indication of how dire the Democrats’ disappearing-voter problem already is. This spring, the League of Young Voters, which was created to mobilize young minority communities, collaborated with the liberal Wisconsin Voices coalition to dispatch teams of young canvassers. Starting in April, they spent eight weeks knocking on 120,882 doors across 208 of Milwaukee’s 317 wards to raise awareness of the gubernatorial recall election scheduled for June. The doors had one thing in common: the voter file said they were all home to a registered voter whom a commercial data vendor had flagged as likely to be African-American.

    But the voter file represented a fiction, or at least a reality that had rapidly become out of date. During those eight weeks, canvassers were able to successfully find and interact with only 31 percent of their targets. Twice that number were confirmed to no longer live at the address on file — either because a structure was abandoned or condemned, or if a current resident reported that the targeted voter no longer lived there.

    Based on those results, the New Organizing Institute, a Washington-based best-practices lab for lefty field operations, extrapolated that nearly 160,000 African-American voters in Milwaukee were no longer reachable at their last documented address — representing 41 percent of the city’s 2008 electorate. It is a staggering figure in a battleground state where Democratic prospects rely on turning out Milwaukee’s urban population, an ever more urgent cause since Paul Ryan’s presence on the ticket could help mobilize core Republican constituencies in the city’s suburbs. Over half of those identified as displaced were under the age of 35, and thus also less likely to be reachable through traditional landline phones.

    The Milwaukee data will certainly be sobering to Democrats who rely on existing voter-file records when organizing walk sheets and call lists for get-out-the-vote canvasses. Now, those working in Wisconsin realize, they’ll have to begin the process earlier to pinpoint residents and make sure that those who have been relocated are registered to vote at new addresses.

    "That scraps any traditional GOTV planning — if six in ten people that you planned on talking to are not there,” says Biko Baker, executive director of the League of Young Voters.
     
  2. esteban

    esteban Member

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    Ha ha ha, karma is biting you on your buttocks lefties!!!
     
  3. glynch

    glynch Contributing Member

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    Well I guess we could talk about the disappearing white voter, too. Maybe the disappearing recent college graduate, too.

    I've got news for most of you conservatives stuck exclusively in your comfortable middle class world views reinforced by Fox.

    Here it is guys. The economy is really bad for poor people. Even in the best of times, poor folks move a lot. Why? They don't have the money to pay the rent consistently and frequently have to move from one place to another after they are evicted from being behind on their rent. Many move from friend or relative to friend or relative frequently.
     
  4. MrRoboto

    MrRoboto Member

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    who knew this place was filled with nancy drews?
     
  5. Major

    Major Member

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    You believe 40% of Milwaukee's registered voters never existed?
     
  6. REEKO_HTOWN

    REEKO_HTOWN I'm Rich Biiiiaaatch!

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    No worries. The Brown voters will rise to take their place and some.

    Hurray Dream Act!!
     
  7. glynch

    glynch Contributing Member

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    On another level it seems Basso is becoming to African Americans what ATW is to Muslims.
     
  8. glynch

    glynch Contributing Member

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    While the average middle class conservative doesn't get out enough to realize why poor and of course disproportionately black voters move a lot their fact providers who send them their Fox world view or manipulate them to be incensed over voter fraud are quite aware of this.
     
  9. thadeus

    thadeus Contributing Member

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    Have you ever bit a tranny's buttocks?
     
  10. basso

    basso Contributing Member
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    black voters, not all voters.

    ...and like the Majority Leader, I'm just asking questions.
     
  11. Major

    Major Member

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    Try again:


    Based on those results, the New Organizing Institute, a Washington-based best-practices lab for lefty field operations, extrapolated that nearly 160,000 African-American voters in Milwaukee were no longer reachable at their last documented address — representing 41 percent of the city’s 2008 electorate.


    Milwaukee has about 600,000 people total.


    Of course, because you have no opinions yourself.
     
  12. TheresTheDagger

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    160,000?

    That's an insane number.
     
  13. krosfyah

    krosfyah Contributing Member

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    Another fine example of the myth that lefties are constantly dropping the race card. Here is yet another example of right wingers being the first ones to bring up race in any given topic.
     
  14. basso

    basso Contributing Member
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    Slate is right wing?
     
  15. HR Dept

    HR Dept Contributing Member

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    Cute thread.
     
  16. MrRoboto

    MrRoboto Member

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    fortunately, private basso is on the case

    [​IMG]
     
  17. thadeus

    thadeus Contributing Member

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    I would like to encourage everyone to click on the "another basso post" tag in the list of tags at the top of this thread.
     
    1 person likes this.
  18. MrRoboto

    MrRoboto Member

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    Excellent. A unified place to find a complete set of Republican talking points with titles representing the full extent of their comedic abilities.
     
  19. krosfyah

    krosfyah Contributing Member

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    Are you saying Slate hijacked your account and started this thread on your behalf?
     
  20. Bandwagoner

    Bandwagoner Contributing Member

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    [​IMG]
     

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