NYT Nate Silver Doubles Down: 75% Chance Obama Wins

Sure it was.

 

Karl Rove is to unbiased election predictions what jopatmc is to Dwight Howard predictions? Or Rove is to unbiased election predictions what jopatmc is to accuracy?

 

What you typed^

Tl;Dr version V

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Good Morning Rocket fans!

It's a great day in America! We are open for business!

 

http://dailycaller.com/2012/11/01/is-nate-silvers-value-at-risk/


Rush Limbaugh nailed it today when he said the only thing currently stopping mass suicides of lunatic-left extremists is Nat Silver's bs - which is yet another reason to look forward to Romney's landslide win.

 

Will you be moving to France after President Obama gets re-elected? :grin:

 

As the pollsters get more desperate, Silver's predictor model keeps sending out stronger false positives for Obama. It is basically turning into a counter indicator at this point.

 

This land is sliding
This land is sliding
From Nevada to Pennsylvania
From North Wisconsin to the gulf stream waters
This land is sliding for Mitt Romney.

 

Nate in 2009:

In almost every competitive general election, the party that loses the contest has also lost independent voters. This is because most people (although less so in gubernatorial elections) vote strictly along party lines: the Democrat might be all but guaranteed 80 to 90 percent of the Democratic vote, and the Republican 80 to 90 percent of the Republican vote. Except in certain regions of the country where one or another party encompasses a particularly wide range of ideologies (such as NY-23′s Republicans or vestigial “Solid South” Democrats), it’s independents who swing the vote, since they represent the overwhelming majority of the votes which are up-for-grabs. This must necessarily be the case.​

Here are some totally irrelevant recent polling numbers:

Romney lead among independents in NPR national poll: 51-39
Romney lead among independents in CBS/New York Times national poll: 51-39
Romney lead among independents in Pew national poll: 48-40
Romney lead among independents in Fox News national poll: 46-39

http://www.nationalreview.com/campa...declared-losing-candidates-lose-independents#

 

Yawn.

Wake me up when he triples down.

 

Who are you trying to convince? Us or yourself?

 

It sounds like he's projecting...

 

Please inform us what these pollsters getting "desperate" have to gain by indicating that Obama is winning in the polls and then being completely wrong when Romney runs away with the election in a landslide like you claim?

 

This is so sad. I can't wait to hear the excuses come Tuesday night.

 

They are just setting things up for louder and less coherent cries of "Voter fraudz" after the election.

 

actually there is approximately 46 million black male felons that are being let out of prison tuesday morning to vote for obama. and will then be shipped right back to jail to finish the appropriate sentence given to them.

 

Neither.

 

So you're just trolling.

got it

 

Trolling for alligator gars. Keep snagging 'em too.