[In-Depth] Analyzing the 2012 NBA Draft: Piecing Together Morey’s Draft Board

*shrug*
*meh*

Rocket River

 

great analysis.
But, if the main idea of this draft is to get Dwight. Then we should be drafting to who Magic wants, not the BPA.

If DM trade away Bud for the 18th which is likely to be between white, zeller and jones.
And Big Sam and 14th for fillers and Lamb when we already have Martin and Lee, subsequently causing downgrade on the center which is our weakest position.

Unless DM get a trade later to reduce the number of players, we basically is left with a 39 year old center, LOADS of Pfs that need playing time, 2 sophomore at the 3 spot, 3 SGs which need and deserve playing time, and 2 PGs who might not even be at Rox next season.....

So the "great" draft basically creates more problem and not really solving anything other than getting players with potential and playing time at positions where there is NOT enough playing time.

Hence I sincerely hope DM have a few more cards up his sleeve, or we might actually just traded away Bud and Sam for starters playing for the Vipers....

 

Excellent post. You may be right about Ross. Also, it does seem like Doc Rocket may have described the rockets priority. Their 5 target appears to be MKG, and perhaps Drummond was a second choice if MKG had already been taken. Lamb and Ross were also identified.

 

It's funny to see so many people impatient with the Rocket's current strategy when it has been only two years of mediocrity since Yao/T-Mac's careers ended.

If we go the tanking route, and tank badly enough to be in consideration for top 5 picks, the road back to respectability would drive those people crazy.

 

good analysis.

came to the same conclusion i did but with a lot more typing.

http://bbs.clutchfans.net/showthread.php?t=221965

 

This worries me the most.

 

Not if you're trying to sell a PF/C Hybrid

 

Other than DMo, do we have any? We have a ton of SF/PF hybrids.

 

Amazing analysis and a great read. Well done! Repped.

 

Okay Morey, you can stop pretending to be someone else. We welcome you here on Clutchfans.

 

There are 3 things that point very strongly to Jeremy Lamb being taken by Phoenix if the Rockets had not passed him up:

1. Phoenix was the first team to give Dion Waiters a promise very early in the process. They were clearly comfortable drafting a 2-guard without an heir apparent to Steve Nash.

2. Kendall Marshall was not given a green room invite. If the Suns had shown a strong inclination to draft a PG, he would have secured a spot. Clearly the Suns didn't tip their hand early, which signals a draft day audible when their favorite prospects were taken.

3. Jeremy Lamb was shut down for a few weeks with his high ankle sprain, but still managed to hobble through a workout in Phoenix, reportedly impressing with his toughness. Chad Ford also reported that the Suns had not been able to get Terrence Ross to come in for a workout/interview, but that they were still strongly considering taking him; again pointing to the fact that Phoenix was comfortable filling their gaping hole at the 2-guard.

Add it all up, along with the fact that the Rockets did make the trade to leapfrog Phoenix, and it certainly smells like the Rockets cashed in on info to get their man.

 

my sig provides awesome analysis and insight.

 

great post ! that was a great read , but honestly i dont think lillard wouldve been 6 on the draft board i feel harrison barnes wouldve been 6th lamb possibly @ 7 i dont think lillard is a better prospect than barnes and honestly the fact that lillard didnt play a top 25 team would be taken into account by moreys metrics because he really hasnt been challenged hes like kellen moore from boise st basically and we saw what happened to him in the nfl draft

 

Marsarinian, can I get an answer to this question or do you not want to commit to a time-frame like most Morey apologists? It was based on this initial response you gave me below:

 

No need for an unnecessarily verbose response to my straight-forward question. I was simply going off the 3-5 year time frame which you pointed out in your original response to me. You indicated that this rebuilding process began one year ago, but now you're backing away from the Rockets being contenders in 2-4 years. I made a logical inference that if, according to you, the Rockets rebuilding takes 3-5 years with one year already passed, you would expect the process to be complete and for Houston to be contenders in 2-4 years.

Essentially, you don't want to hold Morey accountable for a lack of results and don't want to attach a time-frame for how long it will take the Rockets to transform into contenders under the current regime. Thus, you're basically giving him a free pass to do what he's doing for however long it takes, because you "feel" or "think" he's on the right track. In your post above you've also included a built-in excuse for him failing to deliver on his strategies to improve the team. Therefore, it's "unjustifiable" to ever criticize Morey for anything in the eyes of people like you. What a sweet gig! Bottom line is that this is a results oriented business and the Rockets have only won a single playoff series in over 15 years.

This is the first time you've asked me that question and I'll answer it immediately unlike you. I'm in the letting the younger players develop camp. You can call it "tanking" or whatever you want.

Let the younger guys go out there and play for a season or two to show which ones can achieve some or all of their potential. The team won't do well, but younger players will receive invaluable experience and the Rockets will receive high lottery picks. Rebuilding this way is much more sensible to me than the probabilities approach you outline and endorse above. Both have risks and both involve an element of luck, but thus far Morey's strategy of flipping his "assets" for a top-ten pick or trading for a star have failed. It's time to rethink that approach. Also, before you say that it's Les who has mandated the "rebuild while staying competitive" approach, Morey is the GM and he has an obligation to convince him on what the best path forward will be. If he doesn't act on this responsibility, he must agree with Les on some level. If he can't act on this obligation, then he should resign, because he obviously can't perform his duties as a gm.

 

This deserves a bump.

Big Thanks to Marsarinian for his hard work.

It looks like Morey got his coveted top 5 pick in his first year (robinson) for a player he rated #6 in his 3rd year (patterson), except in terms of tiers, robinson is a tier above patterson.

This is not like we got Jordan Hill, who got drafted 8th, but was lower on the Rockets draft board. Robinson was top 5 on the Rockets board, and in the tier of all star potential, as opposed to solid starter potential designated for late lottery picks.

GG Morey.