If things remain the same and averages hold up....

bongman · Aug 7, 2004

I tried to picture our team if there were no trades made and based on pure numbers, we are not looking too bad. I know that the dynamic will change because in essense this is a new team. The 3 new additions will have to learn a new offensive and defensive scheme. But if we can play a similar type of defense as last year where we can hold oponents to an average of 85-90 pts/game, pure statistics say we will win a lot of games.

These are my prediction on how each individual player will average next season:

Yao, 19 - conservative estimate even though I feel that he will average more than that
Tmac, 24 - needs to sacrifice personal stats for the good of the team
Juwan, 12 - even though career average is 17, he will not get as many touches on this squad
JJ, 10 - Yao and Tmac will have the ball most of time and most of his points are assists from either stars
Lue, 10 - can retain last years average because he will get a lot of open looks.
MoT, 11 - will have the same role as last year so I don't see his stats changing
Boki, 4 - slight improvement from last year
Pike, 5 - hoping to be his comeback year

That amounts to 95 pts/game. I feel that for the most part, this is very conservative and quite possible. Comments?

dharocks · Aug 7, 2004

I'd be surprised if all of those guys played a full 82 games.

That said, I'd also be surprised if our roster looks like that at the start of the season.

DavidS · Aug 7, 2004

Originally posted by bongman
I tried to picture our team if there were no trades made and based on pure numbers, we are not looking too bad. I know that the dynamic will change because in essense this is a new team. The 3 new additions will have to learn a new offensive and defensive scheme. But if we can play a similar type of defense as last year where we can hold oponents to an average of 85-90 pts/game, pure statistics say we will win a lot of games.

These are my prediction on how each individual player will average next season:

Yao, 19 - conservative estimate even though I feel that he will average more than that
Tmac, 24 - needs to sacrifice personal stats for the good of the team
Juwan, 12 - even though career average is 17, he will not get as many touches on this squad
JJ, 10 - Yao and Tmac will have the ball most of time and most of his points are assists from either stars
Lue, 10 - can retain last years average because he will get a lot of open looks.
MoT, 11 - will have the same role as last year so I don't see his stats changing
Boki, 4 - slight improvement from last year
Pike, 5 - hoping to be his comeback year

That amounts to 95 pts/game. I feel that for the most part, this is very conservative and quite possible. Comments?
Click to expand...

Overall, sounds about right. Some things will get a lot better: cleaner passing, lower TO and higher FG% (due to double-teams by Yao and Tmac). TMac's defense will also improve.

One part that we need very bad is better REBOUNDS from Howard. If he becomes a 12/10 guy, I'd love that!

New Jack · Aug 7, 2004

Unless Taylor is used as Yao’s backup, I expect his point average to drop to about 8 a game.

Weatherspoon should also average a few points as well. Their paying him 6 mil a year, might as well play him.

And I hope that Boki’s scoring average is at least 6 points.

Lobo · Aug 7, 2004

Has to be some points from another PG, like Gaines I guess.

Phizz3l · Aug 8, 2004

...Weak rebounding wont be a problem if we barely brick a shot, and reducing the opponents shot attempts..

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If things remain the same and averages hold up....

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