Soccer is the only sport I actually do pretty well in. Its a hot streak kind of league and results are usually more predictable.
I play EPL since that's the league I know best. They recently just changed the scoring format a bit on DK. Basically you just want to load up on GK and Defender stacks where a clean sheet is a possibility. There are some defenders more highly priced like Man City's Kolarov because he is involved more in attack and puts in a lot of crosses which are worth a point each. Midfielders are generally priced relevant to how involved they are in the attack and likelihood of getting assists and goals. With tackles won and interceptions now counted as stats, the defensive mids get a boost in value as they were largely worthless before. Forwards is all about finding the right combo. Arsenal and Man City forwards are always usually good options. Then look for strikers in form or against really bad opponents.
I tried a NBA dfs last week but I didn't do well at all even though I had Drummond getting 70pts. What are some strategies or things to look for when choosing a lineup?
The Saints had the ball on the 1 yard line and did a QB sneak with Brees…that was such BS. Im in a H2H…I had Ingram and the other guy had Brees. That was a big swing in points. Now I need Cutler and Langford to combine for 45 points tonight.
Check out the Vegas lines…target games with the highest over/under lines. Check out how team defenses do against opposing positions. If the Pelicans, for example, are 29th in the league in guarding opposing PGs and rank 4th in guarding opposing PFs, then you want to make sure you go with the PG facing the Pelicans. Also need to look at the injury reports. Starters miss a game here and there all the time for most teams, so target their backup….that guy will be very cheap, but will play big minutes. One of the most important things is minutes played…you can't produce if you aren't on the court, so guys that play 15-20 minutes a game might put up big numbers one night, followed with a dud the following night….those dud games are killer for your team.
Playing cash in NBA lineups is the way to go. You need to know how to set a high floor. The best way to do that is to take advantage of players who will see high minutes but don't cost a lot of money. The NBA has injuries constantly so you have to make sure you are up to the minute on lineup changes. You want to usually try and construct a lineup of 4-5 high floor, high ceiling players with 2-3 cheapies sprinkled in.
Ended up winning 7 of 8 cash leagues for the NFL…but went 0-3 in NBA. In cash games, highest NFL lineup was 201.86 and my lowest was 170.52 (lost by 1 point). I did 1 NFL tourney…and had my lowest score of the weekend of 121, thanks to the likes of Malcom Floyd, Doug Martin, Heath Miller, Demaryius Thomas, and Mark Ingram. Overall, net gain of $21. Lol, all that work for 20 bucks. That's what $1 and $2 leagues get you. The second I bump it up, I'll probably get my ass kicked.
Entered in 3 contests this past week and cashed in 2 of them. Cashed in multiplier and GPP for a grand total of 30$ winnings. Did better than before thanks to moe's blog and some tips I read on here since this is the first time I've actually made the cuts.
I had a nice weekend. Ended up hitting on both a $5 and $25 double ups on NFL so that was $30 there. Also picked up 2 wins out of 4 GPPS for a total of $37. Finished 1284/46000 with 214.16 points. My highest GPP lineup to date. Also finished 559/6900 with 201.34 points. Overall a net gain of about $40 from 6 lineups. Not bad. Glad you guys were able to win some money this week. Let's keep the hot streak going! I'll be posting more about my winning lineups including full screenshots of who I played on the blog later today.
Going to try my hand at NBA now. I'm assuming when you say high floors you mean that even when players don't produce their maximum potential they still produce higher than normal players.
High floor guys are the ones that, even on an off night, generally still produce solid numbers. Basically, guys that you don't have to worry about putting up a dud. Guys with lower minutes or guys that are specialists (only shoot 3s) have lower floors....but guys that have a balanced game (rebound, assist, steal) and have consistent play time (30+ min) have higher floors.
I'm doing one $5 head to head today. My current lineup stands at... Bayless Galloway Crowder Marvin Williams Gortat Westbrook Powell Durant I tinker with it throughout the day as I read up on more information. I like Whiteside a lot as well, but think Gortat will be a better value play (specially if Beal is out) bc I expect big things from the OKC/Washington game, as the Vegas line suggests.
I barely lost out on some cheap NBA plays last night. I had Noah in one double up as he was supposed to start. Then he went from starting to not starting to our injured right before tip-off with nothing I could do. The NBA is a b*stard like that. One mistake like that can cost you a lot of money. BTW - link to my Week 9 Recap including all the NFL lineups I played on DK. http://www.dailyfantasydork.com/2015/11/10/nfl-week-9-recap-were-in-the-money-2/
I won my $5 H2H by 1.5 points…Durant almost screwed me, he only played 17 minutes before leaving with an injury. Im not confident at all when Im building my NBA lineup. I constantly battle between having 3 superstars with a bunch of cheap, value plays…or have all solid players. I think Im going to go with the all-solid lineup for the next few days to see how it does for me. I just hate having a lineup where a couple guys get 10-15 points with the hope that a superstar goes off for 60. I'd rather just have everyone in the 30 range and higher.
I won 80 cents in a 1 dollar 50/50 last night. The injuries last night were ridiculous so I managed to escape those unscathed. My only bad play was Wall who had a pretty terrible night.
In group play nfl, would it be advantageous to play in weeks where there the high priced players have unfavorable match ups, allowing u to pick the marginals with upside, with the hope that u are maximizing the value of knowledge over the masses?
Depends entirely if you're talking about tournament play or cash games. The marginals with upside are always going to be pretty low-owned. The golden rule is expected value. If the EV is positive, the player will see a decent amount of ownership. In a tournament, high ceiling is everything. Generally speaking in NFL lineup building, you're playing a lot of high floor guys mixed with cheapies or "Stars and Scrubs" as it is referred to. A lot of guys in the $4500-$6000 range particularly at WR and RB are going to be ignored unless they are still underpriced given their production and opportunity. Eric Decker, Allen Hurns, Michael Crabtree are all examples this year. They have been productive all season, but still carry a somewhat limited upside. With Decker and Hurns you need them to catch a TD. With Crabtree, his targets have been consistently high all season and his QB has thrown a lot of TD passes so he should definitely cost more than $5000. Yet, Amari Cooper remains higher priced in the $6500 range because his upside potential is viewed as much greater than Crabtree's. Crabtree's years of playing with a crappy QB have damaged the perception of him. Cooper is currently on pace for 90 catches, 1300 yards and 8 TDs whereas Crabtree is currently on pace for 94 catches, 1200 yards and 10 TDs. Yet, Cooper's speed makes him more of a deep threat option which means higher expected value in a good matchup.
