Are the odds of landing a top-4 pick by using either the Nets or own draft Picks. #1 pick - 6.0% #2 pick - 6.5% #3 pick - 7.1% #4 pick - 7.8% ------------------ Top 4 = 27.4% ARE YOU WITH ME? https://www.tankathon.com/pick_odds
I’m still waiting for a stats guru to tell me u can add 7% to the 20% Brooklyn odds. Im skeptical it’s 27% unless of course u are a stats guru
Does it even matter? I've seen some mock draft with brehs at 1-2-3 and then others with them same brehs at 8-9-10. Draft industrial complex needs to step up - I don't click on this kind of discordant inexactitude
I don't think that's the way it works. Wouldn't you need to divide 27.4 by 4 since you're adding up four 100 percents to get to 27.4? Also, I think for the first pick, it is 6% of 100% and then it resets for the second pick and so on. So, let's say Detroit wins the first pick. That means their 13.4% chance at the second pick is no more and the remaining teams would be battling over a combined 86.6% chance at the second pick--so our second pick percentage of 6.5% would be higher given the lowered total, right? If I'm correct, that means we don't know the real percentages for picks 2-4 until we see who gets the preceding picks. Caveat: I suck at math and am an idiot in general.
you have to remember that e equals MC squared. If you follow that formula it’s super easy to calculate our odds in real time as you’re watching the draft, and we will end up winning the championship
Honestly . . . from all indications . . .. This is not a strong Draft Who is an immediate impact in the Draft? *IF* we were to win a top for pick . . .. . Pull a Presti and trade it for more future picks Rocket River
OK, I am an idiot, kind of. There are 1,000 possible numbers and the Rockets/Nets get assigned 60 (6%) of those numbers. So, for example, let's have Detroit get the first pick again. That means 14% of the 1,000 numbers are off the board, which means we are drawing for Pick #2 with 860 valid numbers. If Washington gets Pick #2, that means the 3rd pick is drawn from 720 valid numbers of which the Rockets would still have 60. If Portland gets the 3rd, we're down to 587 valid numbers and we still have 60 of them. Under this scenario, we'd have a 10.2% chance at Pick #4. I think. Someone check my numbers.
People said 2013 was weak and it produced an MVP and a multi-time DPOY winner, along with another All-NBA player. 2014 was supposed to be legendary, but produced similar results to the draft the year prior, aside from the single biggest draft fluke in NBA history. You simply never know.
We need OUR pick to be the lucky one so we do not lose it to OKC. We still get the Nets pick no matter where it falls. Of course it would be greast if we got lucky twice.
