More surprisingly, he hit a pop up yesterday - his first of the season. With his plate discipline and batted ball profile, I wonder if he could be Joey Votto lite? He probably won't have quite the K/BB ability that Votto does, but he should have more raw power.
Mo Vaughn is the comp I have seen others throw out that probably makes the most sense as Alvarez’s ceiling. He wasn’t nearly as good as Votto (or David Ortiz, a comp I have thrown out which is probably overly optimistic), but he still put up 31.1 fWAR over 12 seasons.
Quad Cities is having to cancel their 3 game series due to flooding. Houston needs to take any good prospects on that roster and move them up now. None of those guys have been able to get into a routine or even play regularly because of that situation and it’s getting to the point where it’s probably impacting their development. Salazar, Schreiber, Valdez, Pena, McKenna, Conine, Deason, Freure, Hansen, Ruppenthal, and Torres all could be justified in moving up to Fayetteville.
Well, his OPS dropped below 1.400, and he's no longer leading the league. They should probably just cut him at this point.
EDIT: Didn't see SD's post Apparently the only suitable solution for the Dodgers was to make the River Bandits hit the road and play the Loons at their place.
Realistic ceiling comps for Houston’s best prospect at each position: C Garrett Stubbs : left-handed Austin Barnes 1B Yordan Alvarez : Mo Vaughn 2B Enmanuel Valdez : Daniel Murphy SS Freudis Nova : Edgar Renteria 3B Abraham Toro : Travis Shaw OF Kyle Tucker : Josh Reddick OF Myles Straw : Jarrod Dyson OF Alex McKenna : George Springer DH Seth Beer : Eddie Rosario
Lol at Tuckers Ceiling being Josh Reddick Me very well may bust, we have no idea at this point, but if he reaches his "ceiling", it's higher than Reddick
https://www.rosterresource.com/mlb-houston-astros/ Astros have 21 of the current Top 300 in Roster Resource’s MiLB Power Rankings. Yordan Alvarez is their #1 prospect.
Not sure why it’s “Lol” level. Reddick is a really, really good player and that would be a good outcome for Tucker. Reddick has put up 19.3 fWAR in 1085 games and has 3 seasons with at least 2.8 fWAR. Of course you can say Ted Williams (or less ridiculously, Christian Yelich) is his ceiling, but I have more hesitation on comping guys to Hall of Famers. In the 12 years I’ve been obsessing over Houston’s farm, I’ve only comped two guys to Hall of Fame players as their realistic ceiling (Correa to A Rod and Whitley to “pretty much any tall RHP you want”).
Reddick put up 14.2 WAR under club control. Looking at current projections on Fangraphs, it looks like they still put his expected WAR at about 10 WAR over club control (eyeballing it). Basically that would put the realistic expectations for Tucker between -1 and ~20 WAR. Reddick is probably a good turnout for Tucker, but I'd say it is likely far from a realistic ceiling.
Kyle Tucker is a difficult one to put a reasonable ceiling on. Yes, he is long as has bat speed and power and above average speed. Those all lend themselves to a high ceiling. However he also doesn't seem to have a very advanced approach to hitting or pitch recognition. So his likely ceiling is probably lower than a lot of people expect. Even with issues over Alvarez' long term position, I think his likely ceiling is higher than Tucker's.
If you told me right now that Tuckers career will mirror Reddick, I wouldn't be disappointed really. But if we are talking about his ceiling, I have to believe it is much higher than Josh Reddick (you know, the guy who apparently we tried to get rid of his contract this offseason but couldn't) I'm a Reddick fan, I think he tried to sell out too much for power last year and got himself in a funk he couldn't get out of But if Reddick is Tuckers Ceiling, and it's fairly obvious that he has some pretty decent bust potential...then Luhnow in particular, and a lot of scouts also, sure have been wrong on him
I'm more confident Alvarez will hit than Tucker. That said, I think there is still a decent chance Tucker can elevate pitches in the majors. Get the ball in the air, and you have a huge variance (i.e., big chance for a bust, big ceiling).
Alex De Goti has hit his sixth home run for Round Rock. He's on a nice six-game hitting streak in which three of them have been multi-hit efforts, including a 4-5 game with two doubles last night.
