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Astros Season 2009 how many wins?

Discussion in 'Houston Astros' started by ROCKETS1972, Feb 19, 2009.

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  1. TheRealist137

    TheRealist137 Member

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    Prediction:

    Bourn will improve by a lot this year. Watch out.
     
    #21 TheRealist137, Feb 19, 2009
  2. SwoLy-D

    SwoLy-D Member

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    You're WHAT? :confused:
     
    #22 SwoLy-D, Feb 19, 2009
  3. Landlord Landry

    Landlord Landry Member

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    141-21.
     
    #23 Landlord Landry, Feb 19, 2009
  4. Im Just Sayin

    Im Just Sayin Member

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    Hopefully 80-85

    If only the rotation can hold up :(
     
    #24 Im Just Sayin, Feb 20, 2009
  5. texanskan

    texanskan Member

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    Maybe 80 if we catch some breaks, 85 if we catch alot of breaks but I'm guessing 75 or less :(
     
    #25 texanskan, Feb 20, 2009
  6. BrooksBall

    BrooksBall Member

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    Dude, WTF??? No way...



    they lose more than 20 games.
     
    #26 BrooksBall, Feb 20, 2009
  7. Astro101

    Astro101 Member

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    154-8
     
    #27 Astro101, Feb 20, 2009
  8. stobbartjohn

    stobbartjohn Member

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    162 of course!
     
    #28 stobbartjohn, Feb 20, 2009
  9. MadMax

    MadMax Member

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    You think we're 11 wins worse than we were last season?
     
    #29 MadMax, Feb 20, 2009
  10. RocketManJosh

    RocketManJosh Member

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    I say 87
     
    #30 RocketManJosh, Feb 20, 2009
  11. No Worries

    No Worries Wensleydale Only Fan
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    MadMax, Bill James's Pythagorean Expectation had the Astros overachieving last year.

    http://www.baseball-reference.com/teams/HOU/2008_trans.shtml
    86-75, 3rd place in NL Central Division
    Scored 712 runs, Allowed 743 runs. Pythagorean W-L: 77-84

    Not a stretch to say that the Astros will slip 10 games this year.
     
    #31 No Worries, Feb 20, 2009
  12. MadMax

    MadMax Member

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    Bill James has the Astros overachieving nearly every year I've read that. I have to say, I don't put a whole lot of stock in that.
     
    #32 MadMax, Feb 20, 2009
  13. Major

    Major Member

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    In 2007, we performed 1 game better than expected. In 2006, we performed 1 game worse than expected. In 2005, we performed 2 games worse than expected. In 2004, we performed exactly as expected.

    :)
     
    #33 Major, Feb 20, 2009
  14. MadMax

    MadMax Member

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    stop bothering me with facts. i'm a fanatic. :)
     
    #34 MadMax, Feb 20, 2009
  15. Creepy Crawl

    Creepy Crawl Member

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    Thinking...... :p
     
    #35 Creepy Crawl, Feb 20, 2009
  16. DoitDickau

    DoitDickau Member

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    I'm actually a lot more optimistic about the pitching than the hitting. There are obviously a lot of pitching question marks, but if everything goes right (200 ip from wandy , Hampton healthy, moehler productive, bullpen pitching well,maybe norris coming up and contributing, etc) it could be an above average staff. I just don't see how they're going to score enough , even in reasonable bestcase scenarios, to be competitive.
     
    #36 DoitDickau, Feb 20, 2009
  17. Mr. Clutch

    Mr. Clutch Member

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    I'll go with 70, because of our starting pitching.
     
    #37 Mr. Clutch, Feb 20, 2009
  18. weslinder

    weslinder Member

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    When Drayton bought the team, he told whoever the GM was (Bob Watson?) that he wanted to win 135 games. Why the hell not?
     
    #38 weslinder, Feb 20, 2009
  19. rhino17

    rhino17 Member

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    89 wins, NL wild card
     
    #39 rhino17, Feb 20, 2009
  20. DoitDickau

    DoitDickau Member

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    #40 DoitDickau, Feb 20, 2009
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