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[Official] Astros Off Season

Discussion in 'Houston Astros' started by Castor27, Oct 24, 2023.

  1. Buck Turgidson

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    Yankees (deep)

    Rangers (solid-ish)

    Rays (meh)

    Orioles!

    Mariners (meh)
     
  2. The Beard

    The Beard Contributing Member

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    Eh, i'm not so sure those are better. Let's look at us Vs the Yankees

    Framber last three ERAs 3.45, 2.82, 3.14, Innings 198-201-134
    Cole last three ERAs 2.63, 3.50, 3.23, Innings 209-200-181

    I know how Framber finished last year and Cole is Cole, but not much difference there

    JV 3.20, 1.75, Injured....162, 175
    Rodon, 6.85, 2.88, 2.37...64, 178, 132

    JV is old, Rodon coming off a season with Back issues, Forearm issues, sucking issues

    Javier, 4.56, 2.54, 3.55...162, 148, 101
    Strom, 3.95, 3.50, 3.02...136, 138, 179

    I like Stroman, but the biggest knock on Javier has been he doesn't go deep in games, but still had 26 more innings last year and 10 more the year before.

    Brown 5.09 last year in 155 innings
    Schmidt 4.64 last year in 159 innings

    This one is definitely to be determined

    Urquidy, 5.29, 3.94, 3.62...63-164-107
    France 3.83 in 136
    Nestor 4.97, 2.44, 2.90...63-158-93

    Nestor easily has the most upside here, but he is coming off a rotator cuff issue that he is just trying to let get better without doing any procedures to. It's totally up in the air as to what they have in him. We have a guy who was never really healthy last year in Urquidy, who isn't Nestor quality but was very solid before being injured, and another guy in France who just gets people out

    Then at some point we have the possibility of getting Garcia and Lance back, the next pitcher up for the Yanks is they have any injury issues would be some minor league guys who have never thrown a pitch in MLB if i'm not missing anyone?? Getting Soto was huge for them in that park, but giving up King in the deal is SO YANKEE like. They always feel like they have enough pitching and never do

    Same thing with the Rangers, I hear about their staff but

    Eovaldi is really good, but worse ERA than Framber each of the last three years and nowhere close to the innings
    Gray had a 4.12 last year
    Heaney a 4.15 and it was his first year over 100 innings in quite a while
    Dunning a 3.70 that he should be able to repeat, but he had never been close to that before
    Bradford a plus 5 ERA in 56 innings.

    We undervalue our rotation because as fans we tend to remember the bad outings way more than the good. If we watched every game those other teams played like we watch the Astros, we would be crying about our lack of pitching

    Now i'll give ya the Orioles, their rotation could be the best in the game if some young guys prove they are for real, Burnes velo comes back and Means is healthy.

    I just hear people talk about how scary our rotation is and think damn (when compared to the others)
     
  3. IBTL

    IBTL Member
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    R-E-L-A-X playa. WS bound baby.
     
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  4. Snake Diggit

    Snake Diggit Member

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    I think Trey Cabbage has a decent shot to make the opening day roster and even to play a lot. If he shows out in spring he represents an athletic corner bat who can hit for power and steal bases while hitting from the left side. Depending on how Meyers looks in the spring I could see Cabbage being the everyday LF, with Kessinger being optioned, Dubon as the backup infielder, Meyers as the 4th OF, and Singleton as the lefty bench bat.

    2B Altuve
    3B Bregman
    DH Alvarez
    1B Abreu
    RF Tucker
    C Diaz
    CF McCormick
    LF Cabbage
    SS Pena
    Bench: Caratini, Dubon, Meyers, Singleton
     
    IowaAstro and Htown Legend like this.
  5. Jeremy Williams

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    I could be wrong, but it seems like the Astros have more faith in Dubon at CF than Chas. I can see Cabbage replacing Grae too. It will be interesting to see how things unfold.
     
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  6. Snake Diggit

    Snake Diggit Member

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    I still think the plan is for Meyers to be the everyday CF. Cabbage could still make the roster as a bench player and I still think he would replace Kessinger rather than Singleton.

    I really liked Joey Gallo as a potential bench piece and Cabbage seems to be a very similar player (with maybe fewer walks and more steals).
     
    #4226 Snake Diggit, Feb 5, 2024
    Last edited: Feb 5, 2024
    Jeremy Williams likes this.
  7. sealclubber1016

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    I'm pretty sure Dubon over Chaz was almost 100% a Dusty choice, not an organizational one.
     
    Stephen66, BlindHog, 13 in 33 and 5 others like this.
  8. Jeremy Williams

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    That is going to be proven true or false soon. Also keep in mind that Espada is now the manager. Astros have kept things close to last year’s norm.
     
  9. Jeremy Williams

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    Yes, based on what Dana Brown said about finding an outfielder that has some speed and hits left-handed, I agree that cabbage has a leg up on a bench roll.
     
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  10. Marshall Bryant

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    I don't see a 9 man starting line-up at this time. Just players who can hit from bo th sides like Alvarez and Tucker. Last year we had a line-up that hit LHers, who we face about 2/3rds of the time, better than RHers, who we face about 2/3rds of the time. The additions should improve the play against RHs, particularly with C and Cabbage hitting RHers and McCormick and Meyers hitting LHs with a significant differential. Better management of player's strength when rest is need will also help. I'm tired of benching players when they should start because they hit well against the SP.
     
    #4230 Marshall Bryant, Feb 5, 2024
    Last edited: Feb 5, 2024
  11. The Beard

    The Beard Contributing Member

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    I don't think Cabbage and Gallo are all that similar

    He just screams AAAA player to me. Mashes in AAA but doesn't have a great approach, and although he can run he isn't known as a particularly good defender. I think we traded for Cabbage because there was basically no cost so we are bringing him in to take a look.

    What makes Gallo great is a combination of elite power, elite plate discipline and really good defense. His K's are mostly swings and misses in the zone. Even with a batting average under 200 he gets on base. Dubon hit over 100 points better than Gallo last year and yet they got on base at basically the same rate.

    Gallo would have been a tremendous addition in my opinion. If Cabbage ends up as an everyday starter, something likely has gone very wrong
     
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  12. Snake Diggit

    Snake Diggit Member

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    I agree with you that Houston has 8 established “everyday players” and that the 9th spot in the “everyday” lineup will be determined by matchups, rest days, and who is hot. But I really like the odds of that spot being very productive as it’s divvied up between Meyers, Caratini, Dubon, Cabbage, and Singleton.
     
    Wulaw Horn likes this.
  13. Jeremy Williams

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    I’ve never watched him play. The Astros saw enough to make a deal. If he makes the OD roster I think we see him a fair deal.
     
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  14. The Beard

    The Beard Contributing Member

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    If we gave up anything with value to get him I would agree. I just think it was a deal where we had a piece we didn't see having value long term and got a guy who at least fits the category of the type of player we are looking for. His lack of plate discipline just gives him a very low chance of making it. Hopefully i'm wrong, hopefully our scouts detected something they think can be fixed and he will be a player. I just think that thinking of him as a guy who gets a lot of playing time is a bit far fetched, and especially seeing him and Singleton both on the roster is a bit worrisome. Having two guys who struggle badly to make contact isn't ideal in my opinion.
     
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  15. Snake Diggit

    Snake Diggit Member

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    Obviously Cabbage is a very high risk player given his strikeout rate in the minors and the fact that two other teams have cut him loose. BUT the 2020 missed season introduced an element of potential late development that wasn’t there before, and Cabbage missed most of 2022. So there is potential that his 2023 numbers represent a big development and that there’s room for the trajectory to continue, and that’s not considering that Houston’s staff may see/fix something the other teams didn’t. Is it likely that he will be a star? No. But the tools are loud and his AAA numbers last year point to him being at least a viable bench player.
     
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  16. The Beard

    The Beard Contributing Member

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    He is probably in the same class of player at this point as Pedro. I suppose if you have a guy who has about a 20-30% chance of making it as a major league guy, having two of them increases the odds that one of them makes it.

    For $5 million I sure think Gallo would have been worth it. His ability to play above average defense at both LF and 1B is a perfect fit for a bench spot here.

    I think what is likely is we are adding Cabbage to several of our own young guys who will come to spring training and see how they do. If Meyers hits the ground running and is a league average player, then it matters much less how any of these guys do. If Meyers struggles and none of these other guys look like they can be above average regulars, Brown will likely hit the trade market for a LF/CF guy, and honestly those guys aren't usually that tough to find in season
     
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  17. Marshall Bryant

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    Altuve 2B RH 941 LH 846

    Alvarez* DH RH 1044 LH 892

    J Abreu 1B RH 654 LH 741

    Bregman 3B RH 850 LH 696

    Meyers CF RH 646 LH 785

    Diaz C_ RH 931 LH 620

    Tucker* RF RH 859 LH 934

    McCormick LF RH 769 LH 1008

    Pena SS RH 655 LH 834

    Caratini~ C2 RH 745 LH 611

    Cabbage* 3B RH 553 LH 533

    Dubon IF RH 677 LH 858

    Singleton* 1B RH 402 LH 930
     
  18. IdStrosfan

    IdStrosfan Member

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    We will see how it pans out.

    I think that IF Cabbage makes the team, then Singleton is gone. He sees pitches and walks more but doesn't meet any needs that Cabbage doesn't also fill.

    Cabbage has not played 3B since 2019 and was a total butcher (22 errors in 72 minor league games) and Dubon isn't really a backup 3B (2 innings since Astros got him, 73 innings in his career) so a backup 3B needs to be on this roster.

    With only 4 bench spots, if Caratini, Dubon, and Cabbage are on the roster there is no room for Singleton. Kessinger is the likely 4th player w/ Hensley battling him in spring.
     
    Wulaw Horn and No Worries like this.
  19. Snake Diggit

    Snake Diggit Member

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    Wulaw Horn likes this.
  20. Marshall Bryant

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    R

    Alvarez LF 1044
    Altuve 2B 941
    Diaz C1 931
    Tucker RF 859
    Bregman 3B 850
    McCormick CF 769
    Caratini 1B 745
    Dubon DH 677
    Pena 655 SS

    Abreu 654
    Meyers 646
    Cabbage 553
    Singleton 402

    L

    McCormick LF 1008
    Tucker RF 934
    Singleton 1B 930
    Alvarez DH 892
    Dubon 3B 858
    Altuve 2B 846
    Pena SS 834
    Meyers CF 785
    Diaz C1620

    Abreu 1B 741
    Bregman IF 696
    Caratini C2 611
    Cabbage IF 533
     

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