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2023 ALW sprint to the finish.

Discussion in 'Houston Astros' started by IdStrosfan, Aug 25, 2023.

  1. Wulaw Horn

    Wulaw Horn Member

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    If the rangers lose 2….
     
  2. YOLO

    YOLO Member

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    Considering there’s 4 teams vying for 3 spots. Toronto can still end up in that same tie as the example you brought up. In which case Houston is on outside

    • If the Blue Jays, Mariners, and Astros are all tied, the Mariners and Blue Jays will take the Wild Card spots. The Blue Jays and Marinershave the same record against one another, and they both have a winning record against the Astros.
    • If the Blue Jays, Mariners, and Rangers are all tied, the Rangers and Mariners will take the Wild Card spots. The Rangers have won the season series against both the Blue Jays and the Mariners. The Mariners and Blue Jays split their season series, but the Mariners have a better intradivision record
     
  3. SooneRockStro

    SooneRockStro Member

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    Division tie is broken first. Astros would win division. It’s a moot point now since the Astros are heading for a loss tonight.
     
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  4. YOLO

    YOLO Member

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    Yup doesn’t matter at this point. These damn errors smh
     
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  5. HTownTmac1

    HTownTmac1 Member

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    What if Astros , blue jays, rangers and seattle all tie lol … then what
     
  6. IdStrosfan

    IdStrosfan Member

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    Division win paths:
    Astros 3-0 vs D'backs and Seattle wins at least 3 vs Tex. Astros go 2-1 and Mariners sweep.

    Mariners can only win the division if they sweep the Rangers and the Astros lose at least 1.

    Magic # to clinch the WC is 3 vs Sea and/or 5 vs Tor. If they accomplish both they are the #5 seed not #6.

    I don't see it confirmed anywhere, but if the Mariners sweep the Rangers they are tied but Rangers hold the tiebreaker so they should have clinched a playoff spot last night. The only thing I can think of is a multi-team tiebreaker preventing it.

    Anyone have details and/or confirmation?
     
  7. jakedasnake

    jakedasnake Member

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    Rangers definitely have the tiebreaker over the Mariners. No way for the Rangers to win the division but we still have an outside chance. Definitely seems like Rangers clinched a playoff spot last night. Obviously winning the division would be ideal but seems less likely unfortunately. Getting the 6th seed should be our objective if winning the division is out of reach. Much easier path than being in the Rays and Orioles side of the bracket. Twins and Rangers don't scare me near as much as the Rays and Orioles. Not really scared either way but definitely seems like a winnable side of the bracket.
     
  8. IdStrosfan

    IdStrosfan Member

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    Interestingly, if the Mariners win the 1st 3 and the Astros win the first 2 then the Rangers are eliminated from the division with 1 game left.

    In that scenario the Astros are the division Champs with a win or Mariners loss in the last game. Seattle would win it with a win and Astros loss.
     
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  9. donkeypunch

    donkeypunch Contributing Member

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  10. IdStrosfan

    IdStrosfan Member

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    If the Astros win their next 2 and the Mariners win 2 of 3, Seattle would be eliminated but still have a say in the division.

    In that scenario if they beat Texas in the last game the Astros win the division but the Astros must win if the Mariners lose.

    How would Seattle play that game?
     
  11. Radricky

    Radricky Member

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    Wait so if the mariners, rangers, and Astros all tie who wins the division?
    Astros hold the tie breaker over the rangers, mariners over the Astros and rangers over the mariners.
     
  12. Qan

    Qan Member

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    Just win!
     
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  13. Qan

    Qan Member

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    Division record
     
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  14. IdStrosfan

    IdStrosfan Member

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    I forgot to look at Seattle if Astros only win 2 and Rangers lose
    The only way a 3 way tie happens is if Nariners sweep Texas and Astros go 2-1.

    In the scenario Seattle would win the division with the best record against the other 2 then Astros are WC with tiebreaker over Texas.

    If Toronto is also tied then Rangers win 3rd WC in the tiebreaker so all 3 ALW teams would get in w/ Astros the #5 seed.
     
  15. AkeemTheDreem86

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    Digging deep into some pretty advanced stats here, so try to stay with me, but I'm seeing that they're pAB% (punk ass b**** percentage) is hovering around 100 this year. If past is prologue and they don't completely abandon their team culture at the last minute, I think we can say with medium to medium well confidence that there is a fairly likely chance they play like punk ass b****es. But, you know, baseball.
     
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  16. tehG l i d e

    tehG l i d e Member

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    We need to pray Diamondbacks win today so they clinch the post-season so they can rest their best guys against us. Also need Braves to beat the Cubs.
     
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  17. Radricky

    Radricky Member

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    Let'sssssss go d-backsssssss
     
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  18. Astrodome

    Astrodome Member
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    Actually, we play better against teams with something to play for. :D
     
  19. rocketsjudoka

    rocketsjudoka Contributing Member
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    Just listening to Mn sports talk and it sounds like they are hoping play the Mariners.

    Also didn’t know the Diamondbacks are also in a WC fight. This is going to be an epic weekend.
     
  20. Radricky

    Radricky Member

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    I'm sure it's been answered but what is the rotation for the d-backs series and how does it line up for a potential wild card series?
     

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