Do you live in Houston? In a bunker? (Do we have those anywhere?) Rain, we got. Monsoon-ish, even. Named storms? Gawd hepp me.
Ah. Understandable. Here in Houston, we've had two days of afternoon monsoons. WHOOSH, BOOM. Maybe going for three.
Atlantic Daily Briefing Issued: 05:26 AM CDT Wednesday August 18, 2021 Tropical Storm Grace has winds near 65 mph this morning as it approaches Grand Cayman. The storm is expected to strengthen into a hurricane over the western Caribbean before moving ashore into the northern Yucatan Peninsula early Thursday. Though land interaction with the Yucatan may weaken it back to a tropical storm, favorable conditions over the Bay of Campeche are expected to allow Grace to intensify into a hurricane once again before moving ashore somewhere between Tampico and the city of Veracruz on Saturday. It is not a threat to the northern Gulf of Mexico. Please see our latest advisory on your StormGeo web portal for more information. Henri Tropical Storm Henri is about 160 miles south-southwest of Bermuda. Winds are near 65 mph. A steady westward motion is expected through Thursday or Friday, followed by a turn to the north. As the system tracks northward over the weekend, it is expected to encounter increasingly favorable atmospheric conditions. Therefore, it may become a hurricane. There is considerable uncertainty in the forecast track beyond the weekend. Some of our guidance brings the storm near New England and Atlantic Canada by early next week. Please see your StormGeo web portal for more information. Other Disturbances / Areas to Watch Disturbance 29 is a barely identifiable system along 40W. It is moving west around 15 mph. Very little in the way of cloud cover is associated with the disturbance and it is void of any thunderstorm activity. A continued westward track is expected. Dry air is limiting the disturbance's ability to organize. The chance of development within 48 hours is zero percent. The chance of development within 7 days is less than 10 percent. Disturbance 30 has emerged off the coast of Africa. It may not move much over the next few days. We do think it will eventually move westward. The disturbance has a relatively impressive structure. However, copious amounts of dry air in the deep tropics between Africa and the Caribbean are likely to limit the development potential. The chance of development within 48 hours is zero percent. The chance of development within 7 days is 10 percent.
Atlantic Daily Briefing Issued: 05:11 AM CDT Thursday August 19, 2021 Hurricane Grace is about to move into the northern Yucatan. Winds are near 80 mph. The system will weaken to a tropical storm before emerging over the Bay of Campeche later today. Grace should become a hurricane again before moving ashore between Tuxpan and Veracruz by Friday night or early Saturday. Henri Tropical Storm Henri has winds near 70 mph and is 180 miles south-southwest of Bermuda. A general west to west-northwest track is expected over the next 12-24 hours before turning northward and becoming a hurricane. The storm is expected to peak in its intensity on Saturday before weakening somewhat over cooler waters. It could track close enough to New England to bring tropical storm conditions to Cape Cod by Monday. Other Disturbances / Areas to Watch Disturbance 31 has been identified along 60W. It is moving west near 15 mph. It is likely to remain weak as it crosses the Caribbean. The chance of development within 48 hours is zero percent. The chance of development within 7 days is less than 10 percent. Disturbance 30 is stationary near the African Coast. It is expected to remain stationary over the next couple of days before moving westward. Though the system exhibits heavy thunderstorms and decent atmospheric rotation, dry air across the deep tropics will likely limit the development potential. The chance of development within 48 hours is zero percent. The chance of development within 7 days is 10 percent. Disturbance 29 has dissipated.
I don't want to jinx anything. Hurricane season for Houston is now-ish, usually mid-August to mid-September. Nothing really brewing for us and hope it stays that way. The Yucatan was hit twice by hurricanes last year and caught a lot of "residue" from other tropical storms (Cristobal, for one). I've seen pics and videos of their tourist areas (Bacalar, cenotes) that showed the effect of excess rain. Not that we're dry here, but supposedly we're running about what is "normal" for rainfall in Houston (just barely above). Seems like we've been nothing BUT rain here.
We were behind until June & July hit, and those two months got more than double their yearly (month) average. Now, as you said, we're slightly ahead.
Atlantic Daily Briefing Issued: 04:31 AM CDT Monday August 23, 2021 Active Systems None Other Disturbances / Areas to Watch Disturbance 30 is located along about 37W or about 1650 miles east-northeast of Trinidad. It is moving to the west-northwest at 15 to 20 mph and a gradual turn to the northwest is expected later tomorrow. Thunderstorms have increased since yesterday and are a little better organized. Environmental conditions are expected to be more favorable later this week as the disturbance approaches Bermuda. If development occurs, we expect it to accelerate to the north and northeast along a frontal system later this week across the northern Atlantic. The chance of tropical development over the next 48 hours is 20 percent and increases to 40 percent within the next 7 days. Disturbance 31 is in the southwest Gulf of Mexico along 93W. It is moving to the west at 20 to 25 mph and will push across southern Mexico later today. The disturbance will bring increasing thunderstorms over the Bay of Campeche this morning before pushing into southern Mexico later today. No tropical development is expected. Disturbance 33 has been identified over the islands of the eastern Caribbean Sea, along about 61W. The disturbance is moving west at 15 to 20 mph. Even though thunderstorms have increased with this disturbance since yesterday, environmental conditions are currently not favorable. The disturbance is forecast to move into the northwest Caribbean later this week where it may merge with another developing disturbance. The chance of tropical development over the next 48 hours is 10 percent and increases to 30 percent within the next 7 days. Elsewhere, long-range models are picking up on an increase in moisture across the northwest Caribbean Sea and the southwest Gulf of Mexico late next weekend. There are strong indications that the next storm of the season may form in this region late next weekend or early the following week. Currently, there is no disturbance to track, and it is way too early to be confident in any potential track this far out. Development chances over the next week have increased to 60 percent as environmental conditions become more favorable.
Scump spent the week forcing people to agree with his inaccuracies; sometimes you wonder, What was he distracting us from?** Like "covfefe". Why were reporters asking him about it? Who cares? He's trying to get you chasing rabbits to keep you occupied. **Of course, he just couldn't stand to be contradicted. If he had just said, "My bad, in the very early forecasts I think they said Alabama." But it was, rather, "Hey, I need to keep my people in Alabama loyal and blind. Long live Sharpie! I love Sharpie, it's the best marker, ever."
