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2020 Presidential Election

Discussion in 'BBS Hangout: Debate & Discussion' started by Sweet Lou 4 2, Mar 26, 2020.

  1. fchowd0311

    fchowd0311 Contributing Member

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    I don't know why as a conservative you would want to convince people who don't like Trump that he has a good chance of winning. That hurts your cause doesn't it?
     
  2. No Worries

    No Worries Contributing Member

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    I have grown tired of ...
     
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  3. deb4rockets

    deb4rockets Contributing Member
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  4. NewRoxFan

    NewRoxFan Contributing Member

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  5. NewRoxFan

    NewRoxFan Contributing Member

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  6. deb4rockets

    deb4rockets Contributing Member
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    I expect no less from Trump's campaign at this point. Now they have to manipulate all the pictures of Biden in the pictures to paint a deceptive picture.

    Pathetic and desperate.

    Trump campaign ad manipulates photos of Biden

     
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  7. NewRoxFan

    NewRoxFan Contributing Member

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  8. Os Trigonum

    Os Trigonum Contributing Member
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  9. bigtexxx

    bigtexxx Contributing Member

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    Don't look now, but over the past week Trump has started showing improved numbers in the polls and the prediction markets. With covid on the decline, Biden may have to come out of his basement. ....and when he does that, nothing good ever happens!
     
  10. El_Conquistador

    El_Conquistador King of the D&D, The Legend, #1 Ranking
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    In 2016, the polls were waaaaay off during Aug-Sep-Oct and then tightened at the very end so that the pollsters could try to maintain their credibility. In 2016 in Michigan you had 4 polls in mid-October that showed Hillary up by over 10 points. In Pennsylvania you had 5 polls in October showing Clinton up by 8 points or more. These are very clearly suppression polls that are intended to reduce donations to Trump as well as to paint the picture that the Democratic candidate is a winner and liked by all.

    The Trump vote is hard to poll - especially this year with the racial shenanigans and attempts to silence and shame any conservative thinkers. Additionally, the enthusiasm gap is vast this year (pro-Trump, no enthusiasm for Biden) - which leads to Trump outperforming the polls. I estimate that Biden needs to be up by at least 5 points in polls of likely voters to be ahead in a race. And he needs to run the table with Wisconsin, Michigan, Minnesota, and Pennsylvania. He can't lose any of those states and expect to win, unless he wins FL or NC, both of which are highly unlikely to go his way.

    One final thought: Add +10 points to Trump's column in any PredictIt market involving him due to bias and incorrect groupthink. For example, if Biden is at 60% to win a state and Trump is at 40% to win that state, then it's a dead heat.
     
  11. dmoneybangbang

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    The problem is it's not 2016 where Trump is an unknown who can potentially grow into the role. Trump won 2016 by winning the voters who hated both candidates but ending up voting, now Trump is where Clinton in that regards. Biden isn't Clinton.
     
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  12. El_Conquistador

    El_Conquistador King of the D&D, The Legend, #1 Ranking
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    Biden is actually a much worse candidate than Clinton. Clinton at least had the women charged up about being the first female President... Those ugly women were nasty, but energized. Who is the group fired up for Biden? No one.

    Trump was also facing a huge PR war in the closing phases of 2016, with the fake sexual harassment allegations and of course the fake Russian allegations. Those lies also had a big negative impact. We'll see what the Democrats cook up this time around - I'm sure they'll fabricate some nonsense just like last time. Remember, Democrats have absolutely no moral compass. They will do literally anything to get power.
     
  13. deb4rockets

    deb4rockets Contributing Member
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    I can't wait! Not much longer until Trump is finally kicking, screaming, and shoved out of the White House once and for all.

    Go Biden!!!
     
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  14. No Worries

    No Worries Contributing Member

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    You are delusional.

    You should have waited until Sunday to post this. You are definitely off your game.
     
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  15. deb4rockets

    deb4rockets Contributing Member
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    He's been saying that for months. Nothing new.
     
  16. SamFisher

    SamFisher Contributing Member

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    What are the chances Trump can ride a bike, let alone ride a bike and answer a question. His record score on the dementia test is under threat.
     
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  17. NewRoxFan

    NewRoxFan Contributing Member

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  18. NewRoxFan

    NewRoxFan Contributing Member

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    Trump aides exploring executive actions to curb voting by mail
    Trump’s campaign and the Republican Party have taken to the courts dozens to challenge voting rules. Trump's aides are pondering possible executive actions.
    https://www.politico.com/news/2020/...-the-republican-machine-is-helping-him-392428
     
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  19. SamFisher

    SamFisher Contributing Member

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    @ostroglodytum
    @barstool
     
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  20. No Worries

    No Worries Contributing Member

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    The USPS does seem to have problem handling people’s tax forms on April 15.
     
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